Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 58.0%
Defensive zone
O'Connor 56.7%
Neutral zone
O'Connor 54.9%
Result
Drew O'Connor favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
O'Connor
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
O'Connor
Monahan
Last 9: O'Connor 4-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Connor
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
O'Connor
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Connor
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (285)
51.1% (11,197)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
53.6% (2,558)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
46.0% (733)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. O'Connor is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (215).
O'Connor shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Monahan
Home
45.3% (190)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
43.4% (152)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
O'Connor
Monahan
P1
43.4%
51.0%
P2
43.8%
51.6%
P3
46.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.4%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |