Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stafford wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 52.5% vs Nielsen 49.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 72.1%
Defensive zone
Stafford 50.9%
Neutral zone
Stafford 64.3%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Stafford
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Stafford
Nielsen
Last 6: Stafford 6-0 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
4
0
Stafford
Nielsen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
0
Stafford
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (155)
51.1% (856)
+5.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.0% (38)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
41.1% (190)
-3.0%
On even strength, Stafford has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Stafford is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Stafford shoots right. Nielsen is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Stafford
Nielsen
Home
58.4% (89)
51.0% (510)
Away
50.0% (108)
47.7% (574)
By Period
Stafford
Nielsen
P1
65.5%
53.0%
P2
47.9%
45.4%
P3
49.3%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |