Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.5%). Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Stafford leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stafford 63.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 78.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 62.3%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Stafford
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Stafford
Nielsen
Last 10: Stafford 9-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
9
0
Stafford
Nielsen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
1
Stafford
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Stafford
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
49.3% (7,608)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
54.7% (594)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
41.7% (1,420)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Stafford is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Stafford shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Stafford
Nielsen
Home
50.4% (452)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
45.9% (388)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Stafford
Nielsen
P1
50.0%
49.7%
P2
47.5%
47.6%
P3
47.9%
48.2%
OT
42.9%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |