Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 52.5% vs Bozak 48.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 68.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 63.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Stafford
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stafford
Bozak
Last 5: Stafford 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Stafford
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Stafford
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (155)
48.8% (1,036)
+8.0%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.8% (225)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
39.1% (138)
-1.0%
On even strength, Stafford has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stafford is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Stafford shoots right. Bozak is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Stafford
Bozak
Home
58.4% (89)
50.8% (608)
Away
50.0% (108)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Stafford
Bozak
P1
65.5%
48.0%
P2
47.9%
48.1%
P3
49.3%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |