Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stafford wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stafford 68.3%
Defensive zone
Stafford 54.1%
Neutral zone
Stafford 60.2%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Stafford
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Stafford
Bozak
Last 10: Stafford 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
8
6
Stafford
Bozak
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Stafford
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stafford
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
55.2% (1,990)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
48.0% (1,094)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stafford is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Stafford shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Stafford
Bozak
Home
50.4% (452)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.9% (388)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Stafford
Bozak
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
47.9%
54.5%
OT
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |