Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 47.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 89.1%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 65.2%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 79.2%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Last 10: Jeffrey 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
1
Jeffrey
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
6
Jeffrey
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Jeffrey
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (754)
58.2% (4,334)
-10.7%
Power Play
37.2% (43)
65.4% (188)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
54.8% (1,290)
+0.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jeffrey shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Home
49.0% (390)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
46.4% (455)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Jeffrey
Gaustad
P1
46.4%
58.2%
P2
48.1%
56.4%
P3
48.0%
58.3%
OT
57.1%
66.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |