Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 84.3%
Defensive zone
Penner 84.2%
Neutral zone
Penner 83.0%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Penner
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Penner
Stastny
Last 9: Penner 2-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Penner
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Penner
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Penner
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
54.6% (10,616)
-13.9%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
59.1% (1,994)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
52.9% (1,119)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Penner
Stastny
Home
44.4% (207)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
38.3% (183)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Penner
Stastny
P1
36.1%
56.3%
P2
36.6%
55.4%
P3
53.6%
53.5%
OT
25.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2010 | OT | 04:23 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 30, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |