Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.5% vs 41.3%). Penner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Jarvis 42.5% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Penner 57.5%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 58.7%
Neutral zone
Penner 50.3%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Penner
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
41.8% (354)
-1.1%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
43.7% (119)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
38.2% (157)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Penner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Penner shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Penner
Jarvis
Home
44.4% (207)
43.8% (336)
Away
38.3% (183)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Penner
Jarvis
P1
36.1%
39.5%
P2
36.6%
39.5%
P3
53.6%
45.8%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%