Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 59.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
31
(60 meetings)
29
31
Cozens
Larkin
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
15
Cozens
Larkin
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
12
Cozens
Larkin
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
8
4
Cozens
Larkin
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
51.6% (9,056)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
58.6% (2,140)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
50.2% (1,124)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
48.3% (2,685)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
49.1%
52.7%
P2
47.8%
53.1%
P3
48.9%
52.0%
OT
34.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |