Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 55.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Cozens
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Lindholm
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
Cozens
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
57.3% (944)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
61.1% (162)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
49.1% (230)
-6.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lindholm
Home
46.2% (567)
55.2% (667)
Away
44.9% (579)
57.5% (669)
By Period
Cozens
Lindholm
P1
46.5%
54.7%
P2
46.5%
55.5%
P3
44.2%
58.5%
OT
22.2%
64.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |