Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Hughes 36.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 19-3 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 81.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 98.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 95.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Cozens
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
3
(22 meetings)
19
3
Cozens
Hughes
Last 10: Cozens 10-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
2
Cozens
Hughes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
11
1
Cozens
Hughes
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
36.0% (2,926)
+13.0%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
38.8% (224)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
31.0% (42)
+10.0%
On even strength, Cozens has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hughes
Home
48.3% (2,685)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Cozens
Hughes
P1
49.1%
36.9%
P2
47.8%
33.4%
P3
48.9%
38.2%
OT
34.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |