Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs McBain 50.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 68.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 74.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Cozens
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cozens
McBain
Last 7: Cozens 6-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
52.5% (569)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
42.1% (19)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
36.2% (47)
-2.9%
On power play, Cozens has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Cozens
McBain
Home
54.8% (383)
52.4% (309)
Away
52.3% (354)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Cozens
McBain
P1
56.0%
54.0%
P2
51.2%
52.7%
P3
53.9%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |