Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Veleno 50.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 74.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 58.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Cozens
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cozens
Veleno
Last 8: Cozens 3-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Cozens
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Cozens
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
52.5% (278)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.9% (29)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Cozens
Veleno
Home
54.8% (383)
49.6% (123)
Away
52.3% (354)
52.2% (184)
By Period
Cozens
Veleno
P1
56.0%
54.1%
P2
51.2%
48.8%
P3
53.9%
52.6%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |