Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Toews 60.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 72.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 74.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Cozens
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Cozens
Toews
Last 5: Cozens 0-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Cozens
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Cozens
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Cozens
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
62.6% (728)
-9.4%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
59.4% (143)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.9% (32)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Cozens
Toews
Home
54.8% (383)
61.1% (455)
Away
52.3% (354)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Cozens
Toews
P1
56.0%
59.7%
P2
51.2%
66.7%
P3
53.9%
58.4%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |