Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Toews 58.4% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 65.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 77.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Cozens
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cozens
Toews
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
Cozens
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Cozens
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
58.0% (901)
-12.4%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
69.5% (226)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
51.7% (209)
-17.2%
On power play, Toews has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Cozens
Toews
Home
43.9% (410)
59.3% (637)
Away
47.2% (430)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Cozens
Toews
P1
46.4%
61.5%
P2
41.6%
55.2%
P3
49.4%
60.0%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
45.6%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |