Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 59.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Cozens
Staal
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
4
Cozens
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
56.2% (989)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
66.0% (159)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.7% (253)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
54.8% (383)
55.4% (699)
Away
52.3% (354)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
56.0%
55.7%
P2
51.2%
54.7%
P3
53.9%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |