Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 62.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cozens
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Cozens
Eller
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
12
2
Cozens
Eller
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
6
Cozens
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Cozens
Eller
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
51.1% (10,321)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
52.8% (621)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
46.6% (1,759)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Cozens
Eller
Home
48.3% (2,685)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Cozens
Eller
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
47.8%
50.1%
P3
48.9%
50.2%
OT
34.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |