Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 71.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 53.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 66.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Cozens
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
55.9% (835)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
61.8% (228)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (40)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Cozens
Draisaitl
Home
54.8% (383)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.3% (354)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Cozens
Draisaitl
P1
56.0%
55.8%
P2
51.2%
55.7%
P3
53.9%
59.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |