Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.3%). Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Couture 48.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cozens
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Cozens
Couture
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
8
5
Cozens
Couture
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Cozens
Couture
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
48.8% (8,919)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
54.6% (624)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
39.8% (992)
+1.2%
On power play, Couture has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Cozens
Couture
Home
48.3% (2,685)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Cozens
Couture
P1
49.1%
47.9%
P2
47.8%
47.9%
P3
48.9%
49.2%
OT
34.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |