Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.7%). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 56.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 53.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Cozens
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Cozens
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
53.7% (555)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
50.0% (14)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
54.3% (46)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Cozens
Jankowski
Home
54.8% (383)
53.2% (331)
Away
52.3% (354)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Cozens
Jankowski
P1
56.0%
52.7%
P2
51.2%
55.8%
P3
53.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |