Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 36-29 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 63.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Cozens
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
36
(65 meetings)
29
36
Cozens
Zibanejad
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
12
8
Cozens
Zibanejad
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
10
14
Cozens
Zibanejad
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
14
Cozens
Zibanejad
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
50.9% (11,756)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
52.2% (1,852)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
41.6% (1,796)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zibanejad
Home
48.3% (2,685)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Cozens
Zibanejad
P1
49.1%
50.4%
P2
47.8%
49.7%
P3
48.9%
49.9%
OT
34.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |