Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Backlund 49.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 76.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Cozens
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cozens
Backlund
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Cozens
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Cozens
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
50.5% (944)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
51.5% (66)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.1% (297)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Cozens
Backlund
Home
54.8% (383)
48.1% (636)
Away
52.3% (354)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Cozens
Backlund
P1
56.0%
45.4%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
49.2%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 00:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |