Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 87.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 55.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 72.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Cozens
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cozens
Thompson
Last 5: Cozens 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Cozens
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Cozens
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
54.1% (5,812)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
54.8% (135)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.9% (1,381)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Cozens
Thompson
Home
48.3% (2,685)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Cozens
Thompson
P1
49.1%
53.2%
P2
47.8%
52.9%
P3
48.9%
52.8%
OT
34.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |