Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Kadri 46.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 69.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 64.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Cozens
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cozens
Kadri
Last 5: Cozens 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
46.5% (866)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
48.8% (86)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.5% (13)
-5.2%
On power play, Cozens has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kadri
Home
54.8% (383)
45.8% (513)
Away
52.3% (354)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Cozens
Kadri
P1
56.0%
52.4%
P2
51.2%
48.5%
P3
53.9%
39.7%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |