Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Dowd 48.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 86.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Cozens
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Cozens
Dowd
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Cozens
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
51.0% (671)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
0.0% (2)
+57.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
41.5% (224)
-8.2%
On power play, Cozens has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Cozens
Dowd
Home
54.8% (383)
48.2% (471)
Away
52.3% (354)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Cozens
Dowd
P1
56.0%
48.3%
P2
51.2%
46.8%
P3
53.9%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |