Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 60.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
49.7% (292)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
50.0% (6)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.2% (36)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
54.8% (383)
48.7% (193)
Away
52.3% (354)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
56.0%
41.5%
P2
51.2%
57.3%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |