Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Bonino 50.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Cozens
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cozens
Bonino
Last 8: Cozens 3-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Cozens
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
51.8% (305)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
48.5% (101)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bonino
Home
46.2% (567)
53.1% (177)
Away
44.9% (579)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Cozens
Bonino
P1
46.5%
55.9%
P2
46.5%
49.6%
P3
44.2%
47.6%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
45.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |