Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Cozens
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
25
(52 meetings)
27
25
Cozens
Suzuki
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
10
9
Cozens
Suzuki
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
9
4
Cozens
Suzuki
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
12
Cozens
Suzuki
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
49.4% (6,368)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
50.8% (1,355)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.0% (466)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Cozens
Suzuki
Home
48.3% (2,685)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Cozens
Suzuki
P1
49.1%
48.9%
P2
47.8%
49.1%
P3
48.9%
50.3%
OT
34.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |