Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Acciari 51.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 70.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cozens
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Cozens
Acciari
Last 10: Cozens 1-9 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
5
Cozens
Acciari
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Cozens
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
52.8% (3,304)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
48.3% (87)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.0% (1,073)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Home / Away
Cozens
Acciari
Home
48.3% (2,685)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Cozens
Acciari
P1
49.1%
52.3%
P2
47.8%
51.5%
P3
48.9%
50.2%
OT
34.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |