Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 60.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Cozens
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cozens
Sundqvist
Last 5: Cozens 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
41.3% (492)
+5.4%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
56.3% (16)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
43.2% (81)
-0.9%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Sundqvist is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Cozens
Sundqvist
Home
46.2% (567)
43.3% (275)
Away
44.9% (579)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Cozens
Sundqvist
P1
46.5%
43.3%
P2
46.5%
41.8%
P3
44.2%
40.1%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |