Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.9%). Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Greig 49.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 71.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 69.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Cozens
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Cozens
Greig
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Greig
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Cozens
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
48.7% (1,144)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
56.8% (74)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.2% (178)
-6.2%
On power play, Greig has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Cozens
Greig
Home
48.3% (2,685)
49.9% (688)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Cozens
Greig
P1
49.1%
46.0%
P2
47.8%
51.8%
P3
48.9%
49.1%
OT
34.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |