Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Hintz 58.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 60.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Cozens
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cozens
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Cozens
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
58.7% (530)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
59.4% (170)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
66.7% (27)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hintz
Home
54.8% (383)
60.2% (354)
Away
52.3% (354)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Cozens
Hintz
P1
56.0%
58.4%
P2
51.2%
59.8%
P3
53.9%
58.2%
OT
40.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |