Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 70.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Cozens
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Cozens
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
10
5
Cozens
O'Reilly
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
9
Cozens
O'Reilly
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
4
Cozens
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
56.2% (15,290)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
58.7% (3,457)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
51.4% (2,826)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Cozens
O'Reilly
Home
48.3% (2,685)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Cozens
O'Reilly
P1
49.1%
55.6%
P2
47.8%
57.0%
P3
48.9%
55.0%
OT
34.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |