Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.9%). Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Couturier 53.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 75.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 75.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Cozens
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Couturier
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Cozens
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
53.9% (792)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
62.9% (70)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.3% (234)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Cozens
Couturier
Home
54.8% (383)
51.4% (541)
Away
52.3% (354)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Cozens
Couturier
P1
56.0%
56.0%
P2
51.2%
52.6%
P3
53.9%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |