Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 72.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 77.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Cozens
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
25
(40 meetings)
15
25
Cozens
Aho
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
7
15
Cozens
Aho
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
8
Cozens
Aho
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
50.2% (6,646)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
46.5% (465)
-5.5%
On power play, Aho has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Cozens
Aho
Home
48.3% (2,685)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Cozens
Aho
P1
49.1%
51.1%
P2
47.8%
52.1%
P3
48.9%
50.8%
OT
34.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OT | 00:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |