Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Pinto 50.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 78.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 58.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 59.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Cozens
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Cozens
Pinto
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Cozens
Pinto
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
8
Cozens
Pinto
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
50.7% (2,752)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
54.4% (90)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
45.6% (239)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Pinto is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pinto
Home
48.3% (2,685)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Cozens
Pinto
P1
49.1%
48.4%
P2
47.8%
51.9%
P3
48.9%
50.9%
OT
34.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |