Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 57.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Cozens
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cozens
Crosby
Last 8: Cozens 5-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
53.3% (1,025)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
64.7% (249)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
60.0% (15)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Cozens
Crosby
Home
54.8% (383)
56.9% (675)
Away
52.3% (354)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Cozens
Crosby
P1
56.0%
55.1%
P2
51.2%
53.1%
P3
53.9%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |