Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Nosek 53.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 72.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 65.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Cozens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Cozens
Nosek
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
3
Cozens
Nosek
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Cozens
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Cozens
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
54.9% (2,710)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
45.8% (48)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.2% (428)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nosek
Home
48.3% (2,685)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Cozens
Nosek
P1
49.1%
52.2%
P2
47.8%
54.1%
P3
48.9%
54.7%
OT
34.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |