Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 65.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 65.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Cozens
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Cozens
Seguin
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Cozens
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
55.9% (810)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
49.3% (762)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Cozens
Seguin
Home
48.3% (2,685)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Cozens
Seguin
P1
49.1%
52.8%
P2
47.8%
53.3%
P3
48.9%
54.7%
OT
34.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |