Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.5%). Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.7%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 61.5%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 52.9%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
2
3
Cozens
Ostapchuk
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
49.1% (632)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
28.6% (7)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
45.5% (66)
-4.5%
On power play, Cozens has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Home
48.3% (2,685)
48.6% (329)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Cozens
Ostapchuk
P1
49.1%
48.5%
P2
47.8%
46.4%
P3
48.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |