Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Frost 50.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.7%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 70.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Gambrell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gambrell
Frost
Last 6: Gambrell 4-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Gambrell
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
0
Gambrell
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gambrell
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
49.7% (3,652)
-2.3%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
55.4% (632)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
55.0% (40)
-14.6%
On power play, Frost has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Frost
Home
44.3% (994)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.1% (980)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Gambrell
Frost
P1
44.3%
51.2%
P2
49.8%
51.3%
P3
44.5%
48.8%
OT
12.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |