Scouting Report
Dylan Gambrell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 50.4%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 74.3%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 57.1%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Gambrell
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gambrell
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
44.1% (2,786)
+3.3%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
42.9% (254)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
34.9% (373)
+5.5%
On power play, Cates has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Cates
Home
44.3% (994)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
48.1% (980)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Gambrell
Cates
P1
44.3%
44.5%
P2
49.8%
43.7%
P3
44.5%
41.2%
OT
12.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |