Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Carrick 52.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 52.8%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 51.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.7%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Gambrell
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Gambrell
Carrick
Last 10: Gambrell 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
4
Gambrell
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
4
2
Gambrell
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
52.2% (2,544)
-4.8%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
61.3% (75)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
50.8% (435)
-10.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gambrell is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (540).
Gambrell shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Carrick
Home
44.3% (994)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
48.1% (980)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Gambrell
Carrick
P1
44.3%
51.8%
P2
49.8%
52.3%
P3
44.5%
52.6%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |