Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Holloway wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 45.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holloway 89.9%
Defensive zone
Holloway 75.6%
Neutral zone
Holloway 80.3%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Holloway
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Holloway
Tavares
Last 9: Holloway 1-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Holloway
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Holloway
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Holloway
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (265)
54.0% (16,169)
-9.5%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
56.4% (4,298)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.5% (624)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Holloway has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Holloway is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Holloway shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Holloway
Tavares
Home
49.7% (151)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
39.9% (163)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Holloway
Tavares
P1
40.9%
55.0%
P2
37.1%
54.1%
P3
54.5%
54.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Dylan Holloway |