Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.5%). Holloway wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 49.4% vs Dowd 48.6% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Holloway 82.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.1%
Neutral zone
Holloway 50.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Holloway
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (49)
51.0% (671)
-8.1%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
0.0% (2)
+63.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
41.5% (224)
+58.5%
On power play, Holloway has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Holloway is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Holloway shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Holloway
Dowd
Home
54.5% (33)
48.2% (471)
Away
41.4% (29)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Holloway
Dowd
P1
43.8%
48.3%
P2
26.3%
46.8%
P3
66.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%