Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Larkin 52.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 59.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 85.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 71.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Raty
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Raty
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
51.1% (915)
+8.9%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
59.4% (261)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
48.2% (168)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Raty
Larkin
Home
60.2% (354)
51.7% (686)
Away
61.8% (272)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Raty
Larkin
P1
55.7%
52.5%
P2
67.1%
52.7%
P3
59.0%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
61.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |