Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.9%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Stephenson Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 7 (13 meetings)
6
7
Stephenson Larkin
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Stephenson Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson Larkin
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (623)
52.4% (773)
+0.7%
Power Play
61.4% (184)
58.6% (220)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (149)
47.3% (146)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
52.7% (533)
51.9% (615)
Away
52.2% (423)
54.2% (524)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
56.4%
52.3%
P2
51.8%
53.2%
P3
50.2%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
63.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
48.0%
56.0%
52.5%
Larkin
50.0%
50.0%
52.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 6, 2025 1 08:52 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 6, 2025 1 05:20 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 15:31 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 13:17 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 09:14 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 00:33 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 19:41 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 15:55 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 09:37 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 2 05:17 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 03:56 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 1 14:18 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 1 10:43 Defensive Chandler Stephenson