Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.9%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Stephenson
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Stephenson
Larkin
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Stephenson
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson
Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (623)
52.4% (773)
+0.7%
Power Play
61.4% (184)
58.6% (220)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (149)
47.3% (146)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
52.7% (533)
51.9% (615)
Away
52.2% (423)
54.2% (524)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
56.4%
52.3%
P2
51.8%
53.2%
P3
50.2%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
63.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
48.0%▼
56.0%
52.5%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |