Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Larkin 52.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 58.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 66.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Cozens
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Cozens
Larkin
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
2
Cozens
Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
1
Cozens
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
51.1% (915)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
59.4% (261)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.2% (168)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Cozens
Larkin
Home
54.8% (383)
51.7% (686)
Away
52.3% (354)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Cozens
Larkin
P1
56.0%
52.5%
P2
51.2%
52.7%
P3
53.9%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |