Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Staal 51.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Larkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Staal
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Larkin
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
51.0% (930)
-2.5%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
54.4% (125)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
48.3% (60)
+0.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Larkin
Staal
Home
51.4% (652)
53.5% (561)
Away
48.5% (662)
48.9% (554)
By Period
Larkin
Staal
P1
49.1%
50.1%
P2
52.0%
50.3%
P3
48.0%
53.1%
OT
52.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |