Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kane shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Kane 45.2% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Larkin
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Kane
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Kane
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
31.4% (35)
+19.7%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
45.0% (20)
+14.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Kane is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kane
Home
51.7% (686)
33.3% (21)
Away
53.0% (658)
38.2% (34)
By Period
Larkin
Kane
P1
52.5%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
22.7%
P3
51.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |